NQ Daily Trade Plan – 2026-10-01
⚠️ Tomorrow’s News — 10:00 AM ET (High Volatility)
High-impact manufacturing survey. Forecast: 55.0, prior 54.6. A miss can trigger a fast dip toward the pivot zone; a beat can fuel a push through 30788. No open positions in the first 2–3 minutes after the release.
🔁 Session Recap
Globex delivered two more clean trades off 30550 — one overnight, another right at the 8:30 AM ET PCE/GDP release — extending the level’s perfect run this week.
The open reclaimed the pivot directly, sending price to the session high at 30906 — the zone continuing to prove itself as the key structural level.
After the high, price consolidated right above 30788 — the same level flagged as Strength Above and Counter Trend Short — validating it as one of the plan’s most important reference points.
About 10 minutes before the close, a strong sell drove price back into 30650–30677, which was reclaimed again — a fresh failed breakdown setup heading into tomorrow. The session closed essentially flat near 30650.
🧠 Current Context NQ closed essentially flat. The open reclaimed the 30650-30677 pivot directly, fueling a rally to the session high at 30906, before price consolidated above 30788 and eventually sold back into the pivot late in the session. That late sell was reclaimed again into the close, leaving a fresh failed breakdown setup at the pivot heading into tomorrow. The immediate reclaim zone to watch is 30733-30750, with a stronger confirmation above 30788. 📊 Short-Term Structure NQ remains anchored to the 30650-30677 pivot, tested and reclaimed multiple times today, with 30733-30750 as the first reclaim hurdle above it and 30788 as the key confirmation level that capped the rally. Below the pivot, the proven 30550/30506/30426/30377 cluster remains intact. Above 30788, the path runs through the 30826-30830 Pivot Bull zone toward today's high at 30906. 🟢 Bullish Strategy Bulls need to hold 30650-30677 (or produce a quick failed breakdown of it, as seen late in today's session) and reclaim 30733-30750 first, then 30788 for stronger confirmation. A hold above 30788 opens the path back to 30826-30830, then continuation toward 30906 and higher. Strength is confirmed above 30933. ❌ Bearish Strategy Bears need a confirmed breakdown below 30650-30677 to shift control, opening downside risk toward the proven 30550/30506/30426/30377 cluster. Given how reliably that cluster has held this week, any retest should be treated as a potential failed breakdown long rather than a blind short. Weakness is confirmed below 30422. ✅ Summary NQ closed flat after reclaiming 30650-30677 twice in one session and rallying to 30906 in between. The plan stays centered on the same pivot: reclaim 30733-30750 then 30788 for continuation toward 30826-30830 and 30906, while a loss of 30650-30677 shifts control back to the 30550/30426/30377 cluster below. ISM Manufacturing PMI at 10:00 AM ET adds volatility risk — no positions in the first few minutes after release. --- NQ Levels 📌 Support Levels: 30562, 30550, 30506, 30426, 30377, 30226–30250, 30077, 29855, 29750, 29660, 29477, 29377, 29212 📌 Resistance Levels: 30650, 30677, 30733–30750, 30788, 30826, 30830, 30862, 30906, 30922, 30933, 31050–31068, 31150, 31226, 31312, 31395, 31495 📌 Plan Going Forward Above ↑: 30733–30750 → 30788 → 30826 → 30830 → 30862 → 30906 → 30922 → 30933 Below ↓: 30677 → 30650 → 30562 → 30550 → 30506 → 30426 → 30377 → 30226 ✅ Key Confirmations: Strength confirmed above 30933 Weakness confirmed below 30422 ✅ Pivot Bull: 30826–30830 ✅ Pivot Bear: 30650–30677 📌 Trade Ideas: ⭐ Long if fail and reclaim: 30550 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 30426 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 30377 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 29855 🔷 Long if reclaim and hold: 29750 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 29660 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 30077 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 29477 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 29377 🔷 Long if hold or reclaim: 30650–30677 🔷 Long if hold or reclaim: 30733–30750 🔷 Long if hold or reclaim: 30826–30830 🔶 Short below after bounce: 30550 🔶 Short below after bounce: 30426 🔶 Counter Trend Short (risky): 30926–30933 🔶 Counter Trend Short: 31050–31068 🔶 Counter Trend Short: 31226 🔶 Counter Trend Short: 31395 🔶 Counter Trend Short (extreme): 31926
NQ Trade Ideas for TradingView: Click Copy NQ Levels below, then open the Trading Levels PTZ v2 indicator on TradingView → Settings → paste into the levels field. Long entries appear in aqua, short entries in orange.
ES Trade Ideas for TradingView: Click Copy ES Levels below, then open the Trading Levels PTZ v2 indicator on your ES chart → Settings → paste into the levels field.
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