NQ Daily Trade Plan – 2026-10-02
⚠️ Tomorrow’s News — 8:30 AM & 10:00 AM ET
High-impact. Forecast 90K, prior 162K — a sharp expected slowdown already priced in. A miss can trigger a flush back through 30650-30677 toward the 30550 cluster; a beat can fuel a squeeze through 30883 toward the 30926-30933 zone. Unemployment Rate holds flat at 4.1%, Average Hourly Earnings YoY forecast 3.2% (prior 3.1%). No open positions in the first 2–3 minutes after the release.
Secondary volatility risk. Factory Orders forecast +0.1% (prior +0.9%). Fed’s Logan speaks at the same time — headline risk into the back half of the morning.
🔁 Session Recap
The plan’s failed breakdown triggered right at the Globex open, retested the level around 8:30 PM ET, and from there ran to a fresh overnight high of 31150.
The overnight high was firmly rejected, selling back into the 30826-30830 Pivot Bull (also a Long Reclaim level), which held. Price then consolidated between Pivot Bull and the 30926-30933 Counter Trend Short zone into the RTH open — the 8:30 AM data release during that stretch came in flat, no real reaction.
New York opened at 30797 (month open) and sold directly into the proven 30550 level. Price then ping-ponged between 30550 and the 30650-30677 Bear Pivot before reclaiming it cleanly.
Once 30650-30677 reclaimed, NQ ran all the way to a session high of 30883, where it was rejected and sold back into the 30733-30750 Long Reclaim zone, which held. Price pushed back up into the close, got rejected again at Pivot Bull, and consolidated between the two into the close. Globex has since reopened at 30770 and is now trading near 30844, just above Pivot Bull, heading into Non-Farm Payrolls.
🧠 Current Context Globex triggered the plan's failed breakdown right at the open, retested the level around 8:30 PM ET, and ran to a fresh overnight high of 31150, where it was firmly rejected. The sell-off from there ran into the 30826-30830 Pivot Bull — also a Long Reclaim level — which held, and price consolidated between Pivot Bull and the 30926-30933 Counter Trend Short zone into the RTH open (the 8:30 AM data release during that stretch was flat, no reaction). New York opened at 30797 (month open) and sold directly into 30550 — the plan's starred level, the strongest long setup on the board — which triggered another failed breakdown. Price ping-ponged with the 30650-30677 Bear Pivot before reclaiming it cleanly, and from there ran all the way to a session high of 30883, which rejected and sent price back into the 30733-30750 Long Reclaim zone, which held. Price pushed back up into the close, got rejected again at Pivot Bull, and consolidated between the two levels into the close. Globex has since reopened at 30770 and is now trading near 30844, just above Pivot Bull, heading into Non-Farm Payrolls. 📊 Short-Term Structure NQ remains anchored to the same structure as this week: the 30550/30506/30426/30377 cluster below has now held on every single test, the 30650-30677 pivot continues to act as the line in the sand, and 30733-30750 is the first reclaim hurdle above it. The 30826-30830 Pivot Bull — now reclaimed and holding in Globex — opens the path back to 30883, then the 30926-30933 zone and the 31150 high. A loss of 30826-30830 that sticks puts the 30650-30677 pivot back in play first. 🟢 Bullish Strategy Bulls stay in control above 30550, with stronger confirmation above the 30650-30677 Bear Pivot. The best long setups remain the proven failed breakdowns below: 30550, 30506, 30426, 30377 down the ladder, plus a hold or reclaim of 30650-30677 or 30733-30750. Acceptance back above 30906 reopens 30922, then the 30926-30933 zone and 31150 — treat shorts there as counter-trend only. Strength is confirmed above 30933. ❌ Bearish Strategy Bears need a confirmed breakdown below 30550 — the strongest level on the board this week — to really take control, not just a dip below the 30650-30677 pivot. A clean loss opens the short-below-after-bounce setups at 30550 and 30426, both proven levels, with further downside risk toward 30377 and the rest of the cluster. The 30883 and 30926-30933 zones remain clean fade spots for a quick counter-trend scalp on the way up. Weakness is confirmed below 30422. ✅ Summary NQ enters the session trading near 30844, holding above the 30826-30830 Pivot Bull after a clean failed breakdown and reclaim through 30650-30677 yesterday. The plan stays centered on the same levels: buy the proven cluster below (30550/30506/30426/30377) and the pivots on a fail-and-reclaim, fade 30883/30926-30933 only as a quick counter-trend scalp, and let a runner work toward 31150 and beyond. Non-Farm Payrolls at 8:30 AM ET is the headline catalyst — expect a sharp, two-sided reaction and no positions in the first 2-3 minutes. --- NQ Levels 📌 Support Levels: 30562, 30550, 30506, 30426, 30377, 30226–30250, 30077, 29855, 29750, 29660, 29477, 29377, 29212 📌 Resistance Levels: 30650, 30677, 30733–30750, 30788, 30826, 30830, 30862, 30906, 30922, 30933, 31050–31068, 31150, 31226, 31312, 31395, 31495 📌 Plan Going Forward Above ↑: 30733–30750 → 30788 → 30826 → 30830 → 30862 → 30906 → 30922 → 30933 → 31077 → 31126 → 31188 → 31226 → 31392 → Below ↓: 30650 → 30550 → 30550 → 30426 → 30377 → 30226 → 30377 → 30250 → 30077 →29957 → 29855 → 29750→ 29660 → ✅ Key Confirmations: Strength confirmed above 30933 Weakness confirmed below 30422 ✅ Pivot Bull: 30826–30830 ✅ Pivot Bear: 30650–30677 📌 Trade Ideas: ⭐ Long if fail and reclaim: 30550 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 30426 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 30377 🔷 Counter Trend Long: 29855 🔷 Long if reclaim and hold: 29750 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 29660 🔷 Counter Trend Long: 30077 🔷 Counter Trend Long: 29477 🔷 Long if fail and reclaim: 29377 🔷 Long if hold or reclaim: 30650–30677 🔷 Long if hold or reclaim: 30733–30750 🔷 Long if hold or reclaim: 30826–30830 🔶 Short below after bounce: 30550 🔶 Short below after bounce: 30426 🔶 Counter Trend Short (risky): 30926–30933 🔶 Counter Trend Short: 31050–31068 🔶 Counter Trend Short: 31226 🔶 Counter Trend Short: 31395 🔶 Counter Trend Short (extreme): 31926
NQ Trade Ideas for TradingView: Click Copy NQ Levels below, then open the Trading Levels PTZ v2 indicator on TradingView → Settings → paste into the levels field. Long entries appear in aqua, short entries in orange.
ES Trade Ideas for TradingView: Click Copy ES Levels below, then open the Trading Levels PTZ v2 indicator on your ES chart → Settings → paste into the levels field.
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