NQ Daily Trade Plan โ 2026-08-20
๐ง Current Context Today was a session of clean two-way action between established levels. The NY open produced an immediate rejection of 29733, which had been resistance all week, triggering a sharp flush to a low of 29375 โ just below the 29426 support level. That flush produced a textbook failed breakdown: price trapped below 29426 briefly then recovered quickly, running straight to the 29650 target. From 29650, price rejected again and pulled back into the bear pivot zone 29526โ29550, where it spent the remainder of the session. NQ closed at 29522, right at the lower edge of the bear pivot zone. Globex opened slightly higher at 29561 and is currently trading at 29607. Every level on today's plan performed. The structure remains in the same range โ 29426 to 29733 โ and neither side has been able to break out of it. Bulls defended 29426 with a clean failed breakdown and tagged 29650, but could not reclaim it. Bears rejected 29733 at the open and pushed to new lows, but the 29426 failed breakdown stopped that move cold. The bear pivot at 29526โ29550 continues to act as the center of gravity for this range. The key question for tomorrow: can bulls use the globex strength above 29550 to build toward a reclaim of 29650, or does the range compress and resolve lower through 29426 toward 29233? Until 29650 is reclaimed and held, structure remains bearish and bounces should be treated as counter-trend opportunities. ๐ Short-Term Structure NQ is trading at 29607 in globex, above the bear pivot zone 29526โ29550 but below the Pivot Bull at 29650. Immediate resistance is 29650 โ the level that capped the recovery today and is the first target for bulls. Above that, 29733 is the next meaningful resistance and the strength confirmation level. On the downside, 29550 is the first support, followed by 29526 and then 29426 โ the level that held today on a flush and recovery. Below 29426, 29375 is the recent low, and 29233 is the next major structural support. Bears remain in control below 29650. Bulls need a reclaim and acceptance above 29650 to shift the structure. ๐ข Bullish Strategy The cleanest bullish setup for tomorrow is a failed breakdown of 29550 โ price briefly traps below the bear pivot then recovers quickly above it. This level has held as the range floor multiple times and a repeat trap-and-recover is the highest quality long available, targeting 29650. If 29650 is reclaimed and accepted, that opens the path toward 29733 and potentially 29912 on a stronger move. If price pulls back further before recovering, 29526 and 29426 are the next long opportunities via failed breakdown. The 29426 level proved itself today โ a second failed breakdown there would be a high-conviction long with a clear target back to 29550 and 29650. Deeper support at 29375 and 29233 offers failed breakdown setups if the range breaks lower. Bulls must reclaim 29650 to shift structure โ until then, all longs are counter-trend within a bearish range. โ Bearish Strategy Bears maintain control below 29650. The primary short setup for tomorrow is a bounce into 29650 that fails to hold โ rejection from this level keeps the bearish structure intact and targets 29550, 29426, and 29375. The same applies at 29733 if price gets that high โ a failed recovery there is a high-quality short. If 29550 fails cleanly with no immediate recovery, the short beneath activates with targets at 29426 and 29375. Below 29426, the next meaningful supports are 29233 and 29192. The bear case requires 29650 to hold as resistance โ as long as it does, the range bias stays to the downside. โ Summary NQ closed at 29522 and is trading at 29607 in globex, between the bear pivot 29526โ29550 and the Pivot Bull 29650. Tomorrow's primary setups: failed breakdown of 29550 for a long toward 29650, or rejection at 29650 for a short toward 29550 and 29426. The 29426 failed breakdown setup remains on the plan as a high-conviction long if the range extends lower. Bears in control below 29650. Bulls need reclaim of 29650 then 29733 to restore structure. NQ Levels ๐ Support Levels: 29550, 29426, 29233, 29192, 29067, 28964, 28831 ๐ Resistance Levels: 29650, 29733, 29912, 29984, 30074, 30150, 30277, 30350 ๐ Plan Going Forward Above โ: 29550 โ 29650 โ 29733 โ 29912 โ 29984 โ 30074 Below โ: 29550 โ 29426 โ 29233 โ 29192 โ 29067 โ 28964 โ Key Confirmations: Strength confirmed above 30077 Weakness confirmed below 29426 โ Pivot Bull: 29912โ29926 โ Pivot Bear: 29526โ29550 ๐ Trade Ideas: ๐ท Long fail & reclaim: 29550 ๐ท Counter Trend Long: 29433 ๐ท Long fail & reclaim: 29233 ๐ท Counter Trend Long: 29177 ๐ท Long Direct or FBD: 29067 ๐ท Long fail & reclaim: 28964 ๐ท Long if reclaim and hold: 29733 ๐ท Long if reclaim and hold: 29650 ๐ถ Counter Trend Short: 29912 ๐ถ Counter Trend Short: 29984 ๐ถ Counter Trend Short: 30074 ๐ด Short Beneath Bounce: 29550 ๐ด Short Beneath Bounce: 29422
Trade Ideas for TradingView: Click Copy Formatted Levels below, then open the Trading Levels PTZ v2 indicator on TradingView โ Settings โ paste into the levels field. Long entries appear in aqua, short entries in orange.
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