NQ Daily Trade Plan โ 2026-08-25
๐ง Current Context Monday was one of the most violent sessions of the week. NQ opened at 29236, immediately rejected at 29243 โ a weak high that signaled aggressive selling from the first candle. In the first 10 minutes, price flushed straight through every support level, reaching a session low at 28947 โ a clean sweep below the 28964 FBD zone. The flush was fast and deliberate: it trapped every long entry into support, then reversed sharply. From 28947, price bounced to 29034, retested near 28954, and produced a second FBD from the same zone. The double-bottom FBD launched a recovery that ran back through 29067 โ which held as support on the retest โ and continued all the way to 29192, recovering the entire session loss in one move. At 29192, NQ stalled. This was our Short Beneath Bounce level, and it acted as precision resistance โ rejecting twice and capping the recovery. The session closed at 29131, right at the POC of the day's volume distribution. Bears defended 29192 perfectly. Bulls defended 28964 perfectly. The market is now consolidating between these two proven levels with NQ sitting just below the new Pivot Bear zone at 29233โ29250. For tomorrow, the structure is clear: 28964 is the proven floor, 29192 is the proven ceiling, and the Pivot Bear at 29233โ29250 is the key overhead resistance any recovery must clear. Bulls need to reclaim 29192 first, then push through the Pivot Bear to begin reversing the damage. Bears need a clean break below 29067 to trigger the next leg toward 28964, 28831, and deeper levels. ๐ Short-Term Structure NQ closed at 29131 (POC), below the Pivot Bear zone at 29233โ29250. Immediate resistance is 29192 โ the SBB level that capped two recovery attempts today โ followed by the Pivot Bear at 29233โ29250. Above the Pivot Bear, 29315 is the strength confirmation level and first major reclaim target for bulls. On the downside, 29131 is the first support (Monday POC), then 29067 which held on the retest today. Below 29067, the 28964 zone produced the FBD today. Bears remain in control below 29315. Bulls need to clear 29192 and the Pivot Bear to begin any structural recovery. ๐ข Bullish Strategy Bulls need to defend 29131 or produce a quick trap below before recovering. The 29067 level proved itself on the retest today โ a second test and hold is actionable for a bounce toward 29150, 29192, and then the Pivot Bear at 29233โ29250. The key reclaim target is 29233: acceptance above 29250 opens the path toward 29315 and the Pivot Bull zone at 29412โ29433. If price pushes into the Pivot Bear zone at 29233โ29250 and triggers a failed breakdown, that becomes the highest conviction long of the day, targeting 29315 and potentially 29412. A reclaim of 29315 with acceptance above it is the structural shift bulls need to change the tenor of the market. If price pulls back further, 29067 and 28964 provide FBD setups โ both proven by today's action. For deeper levels, 29000 and 28831 offer counter-trend long opportunities. Below 28831, 28700 and 28626 are the next meaningful support zones where bulls can attempt failed breakdown entries. โ Bearish Strategy Bears remain in control below 29315, and the current structure is bearish with NQ well below the Pivot Bear zone. The primary short setup for tomorrow is a bounce into 29192 โ the SBB level that held twice today โ or a rally into the Pivot Bear at 29233โ29250 that fails to hold. The Short Beneath Bounce at 29192 remains active and is the highest probability short available near current price. For continuation lower, a clean break below 29067 โ ideally with a bounce and failed recovery near 29100โ29131 first โ triggers the next leg toward 28964 and 28831. Bears looking for counter-trend shorts on any extended rally can target 29526, 29677, 29800, and 30000 as the major resistance zones above. These are high reward-to-risk shorts but only actionable after a significant recovery move. โ Summary Bears remain in control below 29315. NQ closed at 29131 between proven support (28964, 29067) and proven resistance (29192), below the Pivot Bear at 29233โ29250. Tomorrow's key setups: failed breakdown of 29131 or 29067 for a long toward 29192 and 29233, or rejection at 29192 and 29233โ29250 for a short toward 29067 and 28964. Bulls need to clear the Pivot Bear and reclaim 29315 to begin any structural recovery. A break below 29067 opens 28964, 28831, and deeper levels. NQ Levels ๐ Support Levels: 29233, 29192, 29150, 29131, 29067, 29000, 28964, 28831, 28700, 28626 ๐ Resistance Levels: 29315, 29412, 29526, 29677, 29800, 30000 ๐ Plan Going Forward Above โ: 29150 โ 29233 โ 29315 โ 29412 โ 29526 โ 29677 Below โ: 29126 โ 29067 โ 29000 โ 28964 โ 28831 โ 28700 โ 28626 โ 28593 โ Key Confirmations: Strength confirmed above 29526 Weakness confirmed below 29126 โ Pivot Bull: 29412โ29433 โ Pivot Bear: 29233โ29250 ๐ Trade Ideas: ๐ท Long if fail and reclaim: 29233 ๐ท Long if fail and reclaim: 29150 ๐ท Long if fail and reclaim: 29067 ๐ท Long if fail and reclaim: 28977 ๐ท Long if fail and reclaim: 28831 ๐ท Long if reclaim and hold: 29315 ๐ท Counter Trend Long: 28700 ๐ท Counter Trend Long: 28626 ๐ท Counter Trend Long: 28593 ๐ถ Counter Trend Short: 29526 ๐ถ Counter Trend Short: 29677 ๐ถ Counter Trend Short: 29800 ๐ถ Counter Trend Short: 30000 ๐ด Short Beneath Bounce risky: 28837 ๐ด Short Beneath Bounce: 29192
Trade Ideas for TradingView: Click Copy Formatted Levels below, then open the Trading Levels PTZ v2 indicator on TradingView → Settings → paste into the levels field. Long entries appear in aqua, short entries in orange.
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